Economic Indicators, Stock Market & Investment Reports

6.25.2009

Economy fell at a little lower rate in 1 Qtr

The revised reading on gross domestic product (GDP) showed the economy from January through March didn't fall as deeply as the 5.7 percent annualized decline reported a month ago. Instead, the economy tumbled at a 5.5 percent pace in the first quarter.

Real GDP, the measure of the value of goods and services produced in the economy, fell at a 6.3 percent pace in the fourth quarter of 2008.

The GDP revisions were largely trivial and don't alter the big picture of an economic calamity in the six months following the collapse of Lehman Bros. The main changes were higher inventories and lower imports than previously estimated. Consumer spending, business investment, residential investments, and exports were revised lower.

During the quarter business investment declined at a record rate. Investments in housing fell at the fastest pace in 29 years. Domestic demand fell at the fastest rate in 29 years. Exports fell at the fastest pace in 40 years, while imports fell at the fastest pace in 62 years.

The business sector was the major story for the first quarter. Firms stopped new investments, and shed workers and inventories at a dizzying pace to bring down production and stockpiles to match the lower demand from U.S. and foreign markets.

The economy appears to be doing better now, even though heavy layoffs persist. Many analysts believe the economy isn't sinking nearly as much now as the recession eases it grip on the country. For the current April-June quarter, economists predict GDP is sinking at a pace of between 1 and 3 percent.

Many economists predict the economy will start growing again as soon as the third quarter, although the unemployment will keep rising. The nation's unemployment rate hit a quarter-century peak of 9.4 percent last month and is likely to reach 10 percent by the year-end.

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